Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.920628 1.074964 1.254045 1.478850 1.755824 2.088939 2.524490
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.709851 0.908445 1.167455 1.537249 2.063898 2.806698 3.971046
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.578979 0.788643 1.085224 1.550060 2.289024 3.472918 5.638832
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.479864 0.683674 0.989624 1.504119 2.395455 3.979700 7.289863
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.428232 0.635069 0.962696 1.550804 2.656878 4.835883 10.064756
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.382777 0.586601 0.924137 1.564471 2.857995 5.653880 13.302538
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.339098 0.533428 0.866956 1.528994 2.948953 6.274252 16.516270
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.305527 0.492076 0.822823 1.507378 3.060959 6.993093 20.648245
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.291061 0.481623 0.832430 1.595124 3.447733 8.610959 29.577501
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.275482 0.466790 0.830887 1.658347 3.798152 10.335001 41.412874
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.255511 0.441127 0.803856 1.658192 3.984267 11.664792 53.707508
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.234297 0.410597 0.762520 1.615853 4.040307 12.591524 65.653358
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.218982 0.390364 0.740925 1.620141 4.246977 14.282514 87.340509
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.209240 0.380207 0.739683 1.676752 4.645475 17.130324 128.673220
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.197284 0.364153 0.723078 1.689406 4.907624 19.634223 179.226224
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.182402 0.340450 0.685957 1.638029 4.926688 20.959712 223.604418
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.175448 0.332825 0.685124 1.689887 5.356468 25.071981 346.719692
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.166960 0.320994 0.672674 1.705081 5.653716 28.805173 511.606470
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.156336 0.303467 0.644183 1.665619 5.709836 31.025772 675.927343
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.147470 0.289094 0.621891 1.641589 5.828654 33.954403 937.150787
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.145088 0.289148 0.636084 1.739191 6.562659 43.313876 1917.807481
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.141471 0.285988 0.641550 1.809604 7.214619 53.572216 3978.111170
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.135178 0.275977 0.627580 1.809431 7.504087 60.819505 7024.163528